Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

A Manifold Markets cota Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez em 15.3% em 10 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 é resolvido?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 15 de agosto de 2028.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria

A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Other 32%-0.4pt

Líder entre 8 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

-1.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 horas

Desatualizado

18/05/26, 11:15 UTC15/08/28, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.

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Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Regras

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).