Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 minutos
8/07/25, 03:54 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
This market closes 31 Dec 2027 and I’ll settle it during 2028 by giving my honest take.
- If, by then, I feel that 2023-2026 looked like a dot-com-style frenzy i.e., tech and especially AI stocks were clearly overvalued around their 2025 highs it resolves YES; otherwise NO.
- I’ll base my judgment on my own reading of market charts, news, and general vibes rather than any formal threshold.
- Think of it as “does 2025 now look bubbly to me?” that’s the whole criteria.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 349,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028 é resolvido?
- Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market closes 31 Dec 2027 and I’ll settle it during 2028 by giving my honest take.