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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. ETF
  3. Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
Manifold Markets

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

ETFIA1a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
By 12-31-2025 0%
Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores

72

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 dias

Desatualizado
26/10/25, 11:3831/12/27, 10:29

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

By 6-30-20263%

Regras

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

Manifold Markets
  • For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
  • More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
  • A market will resolve to Yes if
  • (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
  • is satisfied by the stated date.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,748.94+1.97%EthereumETH$1,654.07+1.26%SolanaSOL$65.07+1.17%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.10%BNBBNB$596.08+1.54%XRPXRP$1.11+0.04%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

Manifold Markets
  • For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
  • More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
  • A market will resolve to Yes if
  • (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
  • is satisfied by the stated date.