Previsão da comunidade atual
By 12-31-2028 60%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
75
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado26/10/25, 11:38 UTC31/12/27, 10:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Is Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
ETFPOLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↑ $193+21.9pt100%
- ↑ $192+28.4pt100%
- ↑ $191+22.9pt100%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 20,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,9 mil
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- No88.4%
- Yes11.6%
- Volume total
- € 31,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $188+40.0pt100%
- ↑ $186+35.0pt100%
- ↑ $184+28.4pt100%
+32 mais resultados
POLYMARKETEWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 9?
- Up+23.5pt73.3%
- Down-23.5pt26.7%
- Volume total
- € 323,6
- Volume 24h
- € 323,6
POLYMARKETAI bubble burst by which date?
- 2026-0.1pt11%
- March 31, 2026-0.1pt0%
- 2025+0.1pt0%
- Volume total
MYRIADWhich bubble bursts first?
- Crypto78.3%
- AI21.7%
- Volume total
- € 9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 0,9
- EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 11?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 11?
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
- SPY 900 by Sep 18 2026?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Will the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF - ARGT closes above US$100 at the end of 2027?
- What will be the price of SPY ($) at the end of 2026 (0.1x)
- Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- A Manifold Markets cota By 12-31-2028 em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the AI bubble pop by X date? é resolvido?
- Will the AI bubble pop by X date? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will the AI bubble pop by X date? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- Onde mais Will the AI bubble pop by X date? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.