Previsão da comunidade atual
By 12-31-2028 50.3%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
78
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado26/10/25, 11:38 UTC31/12/27, 10:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Is Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWill an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurWill any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — AI bubble burst by...? · June 30, 2027 23%
