Which bubble bursts first?

0.4% (24h)CriptoOne-OffBitcoin Tecnologia Exchange Stablecoin Corporate Treasury Binance MicroStrategy Equities Corporate Actions ETF IA73a

Myriad

Probabilidade implícita atual

AI 17.5%+0.0%

Qualidade do mercado

32 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

8,8 €

Liquidez

1,8 mil €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

7/01/26, 16:061/01/00, 0:01

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

AI18%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

### **Market Details:**

- **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution. - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto. - The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09 - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28 - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29 - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days. - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy. - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85 - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00 - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅ - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53 - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅ - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy. - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower.
### **Resolution Sources:**
- To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes for each stock will be used, specifically the daily closes. - To confirm the H100 rental price, the SiliconData [Silicon Index](https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index) will be used. - To confirm news such as OpenAI, Inc or Microstrategy declaring bankruptcy, the following news outlets will be used: [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/), [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP News](https://apnews.com/). - To confirm Crypto market targets, Binance USDT (USD for the USDT depeg target) spot markets will be used with the following specifications: - 1-minute timeframe ("1m"). - Trading View. - "Close" price of each candle.

Mercados Relacionados

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

206,8 €

Sim: 6%

POLYMARKET

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

44,2 €

December 31: 34%

POLYMARKET

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

6 €

Sim: 5%

POLYMARKET

BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?

157,1 €

$84K: 27.7%

MYRIAD

ETH at three digits when Bitcoin goes below 50K?

87,6 €

Sim: 26.1%

MYRIAD

BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?

26,3 €

$84K: 28.6%

MYRIAD

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,096.54-1.74%

EthereumETH$1,738.03-2.18%

SolanaSOL$77.15-4.74%

XRPXRP$1.08-3.65%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0717-3.94%

BNBBNB$563.21-2.63%

Notícias Relacionadas

UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt

Bitcoin bear market ‘dead’ after first TD9 reversal signal since July 2022 firesCointelegraph

Bitcoin price returns to $60K as US dollar strength rejects weekly highCointelegraph

Why Bitcoin price can’t break above $60K despite easing tensionsCrypto News

Grayscale says Bitcoin could fall further if CLARITY stalls and Fed hikesCrypto News

Why Public Companies Hold BitcoinThe Block

Regras

### **Market Details:**

- **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution. - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto. - The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09 - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28 - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29 - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days. - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy. - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85 - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00 - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅ - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53 - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅ - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy. - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower.
### **Resolution Sources:**
- To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes for each stock will be used, specifically the daily closes. - To confirm the H100 rental price, the SiliconData [Silicon Index](https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index) will be used. - To confirm news such as OpenAI, Inc or Microstrategy declaring bankruptcy, the following news outlets will be used: [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/), [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP News](https://apnews.com/). - To confirm Crypto market targets, Binance USDT (USD for the USDT depeg target) spot markets will be used with the following specifications: - 1-minute timeframe ("1m"). - Trading View. - "Close" price of each candle.

Which bubble bursts first?

0.4% (24h)CriptoOne-OffBitcoin Tecnologia Exchange Stablecoin Corporate Treasury Binance MicroStrategy Equities Corporate Actions ETF IA73a

Myriad

Probabilidade implícita atual

AI 17.5%+0.0%

Qualidade do mercado

32 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

8,8 €

Liquidez

1,8 mil €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

7/01/26, 16:061/01/00, 0:01

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

AI18%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

### **Market Details:**

- **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution. - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto. - The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09 - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28 - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29 - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days. - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy. - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85 - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00 - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅ - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53 - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅ - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy. - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower.
### **Resolution Sources:**
- To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes for each stock will be used, specifically the daily closes. - To confirm the H100 rental price, the SiliconData [Silicon Index](https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index) will be used. - To confirm news such as OpenAI, Inc or Microstrategy declaring bankruptcy, the following news outlets will be used: [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/), [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP News](https://apnews.com/). - To confirm Crypto market targets, Binance USDT (USD for the USDT depeg target) spot markets will be used with the following specifications: - 1-minute timeframe ("1m"). - Trading View. - "Close" price of each candle.

Mercados Relacionados

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

206,8 €

Sim: 6%

POLYMARKET

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

44,2 €

December 31: 34%

POLYMARKET

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

6 €

Sim: 5%

POLYMARKET

BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?

157,1 €

$84K: 27.7%

MYRIAD

ETH at three digits when Bitcoin goes below 50K?

87,6 €

Sim: 26.1%

MYRIAD

BTC next move: Pump to $84K or Dump to $55K?

26,3 €

$84K: 28.6%

MYRIAD

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,096.54-1.74%

EthereumETH$1,738.03-2.18%

SolanaSOL$77.15-4.74%

XRPXRP$1.08-3.65%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0717-3.94%

BNBBNB$563.21-2.63%

Notícias Relacionadas

UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt

Bitcoin bear market ‘dead’ after first TD9 reversal signal since July 2022 firesCointelegraph

Bitcoin price returns to $60K as US dollar strength rejects weekly highCointelegraph

Why Bitcoin price can’t break above $60K despite easing tensionsCrypto News

Grayscale says Bitcoin could fall further if CLARITY stalls and Fed hikesCrypto News

Why Public Companies Hold BitcoinThe Block

Regras

### **Market Details:**

- **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution. - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto. - The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09 - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28 - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29 - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days. - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy. - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85 - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00 - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅ - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53 - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅ - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy. - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower.
### **Resolution Sources:**
- To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes for each stock will be used, specifically the daily closes. - To confirm the H100 rental price, the SiliconData [Silicon Index](https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index) will be used. - To confirm news such as OpenAI, Inc or Microstrategy declaring bankruptcy, the following news outlets will be used: [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/), [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP News](https://apnews.com/). - To confirm Crypto market targets, Binance USDT (USD for the USDT depeg target) spot markets will be used with the following specifications: - 1-minute timeframe ("1m"). - Trading View. - "Close" price of each candle.