Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffIAOriente MédioTecnologia2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 07:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 90.3%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado11/06/26, 15:52 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC), there is a confirmed physical bombing or explosive strike against a data center facility primarily dedicated to or publicly characterized as an AI data center.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Bombing or explosive strike" is defined as a deliberate physical attack using kinetic ordnance containing explosives.
- This includes missiles, military bombs, artillery, explosive-laden suicide/kamikaze drones (such as Shahed drones), or improvised explosive devices (IEDs).
