Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 64%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado17/12/22, 17:08 UTC31/12/28, 22:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
Currently, there are nine states who are generally considered to posess nuclear weapons.
- Will the number be higher at any time until end of year 2028?
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume total
- € 58,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 290,2 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Volume total
- € 36,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 129,1 mil
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 mais resultados
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64% em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? é resolvido?
- Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Currently, there are nine states who are generally considered to posess nuclear weapons.