Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Política Tecnologia Geopolítica2a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. 89.5%

Líder entre 4 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 horas

Desatualizado

22/10/24, 21:01 UTC1/01/29, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

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Kalshi

Regras

Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise.
If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly.
It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Política Tecnologia Geopolítica2a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. 89.5%

Líder entre 4 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 horas

Desatualizado

22/10/24, 21:01 UTC1/01/29, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.

Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Manifold Markets

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Manifold Markets

Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by which date?

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by which date?

Polymarket

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Kalshi

Regras

Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise.
If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly.
It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: A Manifold Markets cota Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. em 90% em 18 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election? é resolvido?: Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
Como Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

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