Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?
EconomiaOne-Off6aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado8/08/23, 23:05 UTC9/08/33, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the World's GDP double in 5 years?
Manifold Markets2026 World GDP Growth
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiRegras
Inclusive or.
- E. g. 2028->2029 +12% or 2031->2032 -16%
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 612,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,9 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,3 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 77% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years? é resolvido?
- Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years? deverá ser resolvido em 9 de agosto de 2033.
- Como Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Inclusive or.