Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 83.9%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado12/08/24, 12:18 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
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Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
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FutuurFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegras
This question resolves as yes if, for any 12-month period before 2030, the change in the US CPI-U (as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) is negative, and the real GDP growth (as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) is greater than 5%.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
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- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question resolves as yes if, for any 12-month period before 2030, the change in the US CPI-U (as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) is negative, and the real GDP growth (as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) is greater than 5%.