Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffEuropa3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.6%
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32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 21 horas
Desatualizado7/01/26, 08:25 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if the United States takes military action against any other member of NATO before the 1st of January 2027, otherwise resolves NO.
- Military action includes but is not limited to:
- remote attack by missile or drone.
- Deploying ground troops to the other nation’s soil in contravention of the wishes of that nation.
- Covert operations that are acknowledged by the US or strongly evidenced by the other nation.
- Anything noted by both sides as a training exercise will not cause this market to resolve YES.