Will the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 80.3%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 51 minutos

Atrasado

6/11/24, 14:57 UTC1/07/28, 03:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

I think this is a good measure of how much influence Trump/MAGA will have on the future of the Republican party.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for the primaries who goes on to win the primary and become the 2028 Republican presidential candidate?
Some potential resolution cases:
Trump does not endorse a candidate: N/A
Trump runs himself and wins: Yes
Trump endorses a third party candidate who becomes a serious candidate but does not win the Republican primary: No

Mercados abertos