Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJD Vance 74.9%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado9/03/25, 04:35 UTC2/06/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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For the purposes of this market, a "major candidate" is defined as any candidate who, at any point during the race, had a polling average of at least 10%.
- In previous years, according to realclearpolling.com, the candidates who would have met this criteria were:
- 2024: Donald Trump, the named outcome, the named outcome
- 2020: Donald Trump
- 2016: Donald Trump, the named outcome, Ben Carson, John Kasich, the named outcome, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Carly Fiorina, Rand Paul
- 2012: Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Ron Paul, Michele Bachmann
