Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?
Crime e justiçaOne-Off4aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.8%
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4
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binary
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado4/07/25, 16:48 UTC31/12/30, 12:57 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves to ‘Yes’ if José Sócrates is convicted in connection with the Operação Marquês case and serves any prison time from 2025 onward as part of that conviction.
- Pre-2025 imprisonment does not count, even if credited toward a later sentence.
- If he is sentenced but does not serve any additional time because his pre-2025 preventive detention exceeds or fully covers the sentence, the market resolves to ‘No’.
- Resolves to ‘No’ if he is acquitted or never serves prison time and no further appeals are possible.
- If unresolved, the market remains open until he either serves prison time (‘Yes’) or dies without serving any (‘No’).
