Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffEspaço2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.7%
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Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado31/03/26, 16:22 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by December 31, 2026
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):
