Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffEntretenimentoRussia / Ukraine2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado18/07/26, 16:24 UTC30/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met:
- On 12 August 2026, the Russia–Ukraine war officially ends through a peace agreement signed in Kharkiv.
- By 1 December 2026, Russia is replaced by a newly established Eurasian Union formed together with post-Soviet states.
- Relations between the United States and the new Eurasian Union have measurably improved compared with earlier in 2026.
- On 1 December 2026, the final broadcast in Azerbaijan is the film Stalin's Head.
- On the same day in Russia, private television channels broadcast Tri Bogatyry i Morskoy Tsar, children's channels broadcast episode 72 of Skazochny Patrol, and Russia's Patriotic March is played.
Mercados abertos
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- September 20+1.1pt99%
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- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
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- October 31+2.0pt12%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met: