Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
One-OffSociedade e cultura
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Human walks on Mars 74.2%Líder entre 10 opções
Human walks on Mars 74.2%Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado28/12/23, 19:04 UTC2/01/50, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:
- 1st event: 10% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 20%
- 10th event: 100% (happens latest)
- If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.
