Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
One-OffSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Human walks on Mars 74.2%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado28/12/23, 19:04 UTC2/01/50, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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KalshiRegras
Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:
- 1st event: 10% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 20%
- 10th event: 100% (happens latest)
- If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 8,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 419
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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