PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 87.1%+12.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,8 mil €
Liquidez
5,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
10.0% / 15.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Variação 7d
-16.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
21/01/26, 22:5931/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
- Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States.
- Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31??
- A Polymarket cota No em 87% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? é resolvido?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.