Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 97.6%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
4/08/26, 03:21 UTC23/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill a majority of the Fed vote to raise rates by Sept. 16?
PredictItWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces a reduction of exactly 25 basis points (0.25 percentage points) to the target range for the federal funds rate at its next meeting concluding after August 4, 2026.
- As of August 2026, the target range is 3.50%–3.75%.
- A 25 basis point cut would lower this range to 3.25%–3.50%.
- This market will resolve to NO if the FOMC maintains the current rate, increases the rate, or reduces the rate by any other increment (such as 50 basis points).
- The "next meeting" refers to the next FOMC meeting to announce a rate decision, which is scheduled for September 15–16, 2026.
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 45,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- € 997 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 41,2 mil
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? é resolvido?
- Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? deverá ser resolvido em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria