Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 98.8%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado17/06/26, 22:04 UTC16/09/26, 18:25 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Use the change announced in the first official FOMC statement or decision release tied to the September 15-16, 2026 meeting.
- YES if the target range is at least 25 basis points below the range in effect immediately before that meeting.
- NO if the target range is unchanged or is lowered by less than 25 basis points.
- Do not use the chair's press-conference wording, projections, minutes, market pricing, or later revisions.
- If the September 2026 FOMC meeting is postponed or canceled, resolve N/A unless a substitute official decision release for that meeting is issued.
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 45,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- € 997 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 41,2 mil
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? é resolvido?
- Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.