Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Política comercialOne-OffTecnologiaEspaçoPolíticaPolítica dos EUA2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.6%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 39 minutos
5/06/25, 21:53 UTC19/01/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, during Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States (January 20, 2025, to January 20, 2029), SpaceX is nationalized by the U.S. federal government.
- Nationalization is defined as the transfer of SpaceX's ownership or control from private to government hands, resulting in the U.S. government holding a majority stake or full control over the company.
- The resolution will be based on official government announcements or credible reporting from reputable news organizations.
- If Trump leaves office early for any reason, SpaceX getting nationalized before Jan 20, 2029 still counts.
- As of June 2025, there have been no public indications or official statements suggesting that the U.S. government intends to nationalize SpaceX.
