Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 57 minutos
Atrasado18/12/22, 05:02 UTC31/12/29, 05:00 UTC
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Will Scott Alexander (Scott Siskind, psychiatrist and writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or a police file, showing that Scott Siskind (Scott Alexander, psychiatrist and writer of Astral Codex Ten, previously Slate Star Codex) has been arrested by police.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Question is global -- arrest in any country can count.
- Any reason for the arrest can count, including minor misdemeanors.
- Arrests count even if the case is later dismissed, or charges are dropped.
