Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.9%
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
2/05/24, 19:17 UTC1/01/29, 04:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.
- Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a misdemeanor will be considered a crime for resolution purposes.
- However, an infraction may not count.
Mercados abertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- € 347,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 27,4 mil
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- € 497,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,5 mil
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- € 676 mil
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- € 8,2 mil
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- € 9,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,6 mil
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- € 577,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,7 mil
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- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 mais resultados
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- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.