PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%+7.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
197,4 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
3.0% / 9.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
1
Variação 7d
-56.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
22/04/26, 22:23 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegras
On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt.
- Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SPLC found guilty in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SPLC found guilty in 2026? é resolvido?
- SPLC found guilty in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como SPLC found guilty in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).