Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.2%
Previsores
200
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 minutos
Atrasado18/01/25, 02:16 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
- Except, one year later.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
- Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if:
