Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%Líder entre 31 opções
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado16/12/24, 16:37 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
Tendências
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Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.
- Specific resolution criteria:
- Venue change: a request for a change of venue must be filed under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Venue change granted: court grants motion under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Reference arrests: Must be documented arrests where the suspect/criminal explicitly cites Mangione or this case as inspiration/motivation
- Plea deal: formal agreement to plead guilty or no contest
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) é resolvido?
- Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.