PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 97%+1.4pt
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
3.0% / 3.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComments
7
Variação 7d
-1.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
29/01/26, 21:0631/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
