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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Crime & Justice
  3. Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

One-OffCrime & Justice6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 5%
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

11,8 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

4.0% / 5.0%

Spread

25.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

29/01/26, 21:0731/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes5%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".