PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualNão 95%
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
345,8 €
Liquidez
8,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
4.8% / 4.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
24/02/26, 1:2831/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes5%
Tendência de volume
$3932 de jul.26d de dados28 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.