Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 minutos
13/07/23, 15:00 UTC31/12/30, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
@levifinkelstein developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @levifinkelstein n cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @levifinkelstein 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.
