Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 89.3%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado14/11/23, 20:21 UTC1/01/35, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US-Russia proxy conflict expand beyond Ukraine and the Middle East by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Inspired by this article:
- https://en.majalla.com/node/302971/business-economy/lebanons-already-struggling-economy-cannot-survive-war-israel
- Resolves NO if, by the end of the current conflict, Lebanon either ceases to exist as a country, undergoes a significant revolution, or otherwise becomes unrecognizable in policy/government to its predecessor.
- For example:
- If Lebanon breaks into multiple different countries, this question resolves depending on whether Lebanon still exists as one of these countries.
- If a coup occurs, but the country doesn't change much as a result, this question resolves YES.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east? é resolvido?
- Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Inspired by this article: