Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
CommoditiesGeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastChina3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.6%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado4/03/26, 19:54 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
PolymarketUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
PolymarketWhat will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhat lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran signs a formal peace agreement or comprehensive deal with one or more Middle Eastern countries (Arab states, Israel, or other regional actors) that includes binding commitments on nuclear policy, regional security, or other substantive matters.
- The agreement must be publicly announced and documented by official government sources or major international news outlets.
- This market resolves NO if no such agreement is signed, or if only preliminary statements of intent or non-binding frameworks are reached without formal treaty or accord.
- As of late February 2026, Israel and the United States engaged in coordinated joint attacks on various sites in Iran, starting a major conflict aimed at regime change.
- The attacks included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Mercados abertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 414,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 265,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 mais resultados
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 126,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 126,9 mil
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 113,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries é resolvido?
- Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria