Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
4.1 pts (24h)Eventos corporativosOne-OffTecnologiaEspaçoGeopolíticaOriente Médio2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDoes not visit 69.4%+4.1ptLíder entre 6 opções
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11
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
+4.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado2/08/26, 17:20 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the month in 2026 in which Elon Musk physically visits a country in the Middle East or to “the named outcome”.
- Definition of “Visit”: Elon Musk must physically enter the territory of any Middle Eastern country.
- Definition of “Middle East”: the region is strictly defined as the sovereign territory or designated administrative zones of the following 17 countries/territories: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkiye, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- Exclusions: Remote or virtual appearances (such as his video-link address to the Tel Aviv Smart Mobility Summit in May 2026) do not qualify as a physical visit.
- Brief airport layovers where he does not leave the terminal will not count.