Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente MédioRússia / Ucrânia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.4%
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado3/11/23, 19:40 UTC2/01/28, 04:59 UTC
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Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.
- Any country could be the progenitor as long as it's clearly mostly about the Israel-Hamas conflict or whatever larger conflict grows out of that.
- (e.g. Russia launching a missile at Ukraine does not count, but Russia launching a missile at Israel does count.)
