Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.1%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado31/03/26, 16:21 UTC31/12/28, 05:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2029?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketIsraeli forces enter Beirut by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.
- YES if by December 31, 2028:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? é resolvido?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.