Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 59.6%
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado14/10/25, 15:25 UTC31/12/34, 23:59 UTC
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Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Take over" is defined as controlling the government, regardless of whether this occurs through a coup or democratic process.
- Islamist groups include organizations like Hamas.
- Currently, Tehreek-e-Labbaik is noted as the only major Islamist political party in Pakistan (less extreme than Hamas).
- Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tehreek-e-Labbaik is a small constituent of a parliamentary coalition of mostly non-islamist parties, that will not count as an islamist takeover.
- Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be delegated to ChatGPT (or Gemini if ChatGPT no longer exists in 2035) to determine whether a group/individual qualifies as Islamist.
- Asim Munir has been ruled to not count as an Islamist for resolution purposes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will islamist group(s) take over Pakistan before 2035??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will islamist group(s) take over Pakistan before 2035? é resolvido?
- Will islamist group(s) take over Pakistan before 2035? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2034.
- Como Will islamist group(s) take over Pakistan before 2035? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Take over" is defined as controlling the government, regardless of whether this occurs through a coup or democratic process.