Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 90.5%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado18/02/24, 13:33 UTC1/01/31, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves yes if Iran detonates or attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon against an enemy country or force by December 31, 2030.
- Of course, this is related to the question whether Iran will develop a nuclear weapon by 2030.
- (See https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-958ce4dc195c).
- Will resolve no if Iran does not have any nuclear weapons.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if Iran detonates or attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon against an enemy country or force by December 31, 2030.