Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 90.5%
Não 90.5%Previsores
23
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atrasado18/02/24, 13:33 UTC1/01/31, 05:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
Resolves yes if Iran detonates or attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon against an enemy country or force by December 31, 2030.
- Of course, this is related to the question whether Iran will develop a nuclear weapon by 2030.
- (See https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-958ce4dc195c).
- Will resolve no if Iran does not have any nuclear weapons.