Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98.2%
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
3/04/24, 17:03 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES for the first test that takes place during the market open and close dates.
- Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the market will resolve based on a test occurring before the market close date (Jan 1, 2027), not the date mentioned in the title ('before 2026').
- Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to user confusion, the creator has confirmed the market covers the period up to the market close date of Jan 1, 2027.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES for the first test that takes place during the market open and close dates.