Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 74.4%
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90
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado13/03/26, 20:59 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
With the US and Israel launching a war on Iran and assassinating the Supreme Leader, will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026, or will this give way to a freer regime?
- If The Economist Democracy Index scores Iran lower for the year of 2026 than 2025, this market resolves YES.
- If it scores the same or higher, this market resolves NO.
- -- details below --
- Note that at the time of market creation, the 2025 The Economist Democracy Index has not yet been published, though it is expected to be published soon.
- To be clear, this market is comparing the index covering the state of Iran in 2025 and 2026, not the index published in 2025 and 2026.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: With the US and Israel launching a war on Iran and assassinating the Supreme Leader, will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026, or will this give way to a freer regime?