KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
38,7 €
Liquidez
91,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
4.0% / 4.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
1/03/26, 15:00 UTC1/03/27, 14:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegras
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Economist
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran become a democracy in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2027.
- Como Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.