Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 53.7%
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado3/06/24, 09:34 UTC1/01/41, 22:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
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Criteria for Resolution:
- Democracy Definition: Iran must undergo significant political changes resulting in a form of government characterized by free and fair elections, protection of civil liberties, political pluralism, and the rule of law.
- Verification of Democratic Status:
- - Free and Fair Elections: Iran must hold national elections that are widely recognized as free and fair by reputable international organizations, such as the United Nations, the European Union, or credible NGOs like Freedom House or the Carter Center.
- - Civil Liberties: There must be substantial evidence of the protection of civil liberties, including freedom of speech, press, assembly, and religion, as reported by reputable human rights organizations.
- - Political Pluralism: Multiple political parties must be able to operate without undue restriction, and opposition parties must have a genuine chance to compete for power.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? é resolvido?
- Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2041.
- Como Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Criteria for Resolution: