Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
IA
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Russia 33.3%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado8/07/24, 16:56 UTC31/12/49, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-Dem_Democracy_Indices
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Polity score and V-DEM score are discontinued, the creator will update the market to use other democracy scores for resolution.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first??
- A Manifold Markets cota Russia em 33% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first? é resolvido?
- Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2049.
- Como Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018