Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.2%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado8/01/26, 00:09 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if India and Bangladesh engage in direct military conflict involving armed forces of both nations by December 31, 2026.
- This includes sustained combat operations, military strikes, or armed clashes that constitute war or armed conflict under international law.
- The resolution will be determined by credible international news sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera, etc.) and official statements from either government confirming military engagement.
- Isolated border skirmishes, protests, diplomatic tensions, or economic sanctions alone do not constitute war.
- The conflict must involve organized military operations by state forces.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
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- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
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- No-0.2pt96%
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- € 35,3 mi
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- € 100,1 mil
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
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- December 317%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria