Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.9%
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17
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado20/08/26, 02:59 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if a map of the human brain is made by end of 2029.
- Its quality should be at least the one of the map made of a fruit fly brain: https://www.science.org/content/article/complete-map-fruit-fly-brain-circuitry-unveiled.
- Otherwise, this resolves NO.
- The result should be publicly available.
- A counter example would be some result obtained through an unethical process hidden in a classified lab located in the Mariana Trench.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029? é resolvido?
- Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if a map of the human brain is made by end of 2029.