Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 94.5%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado3/02/26, 04:20 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If SWE-bench verified is renamed or significantly updated, this market will resolve NO even if Claude Sonnet 5 achieves 85% on the renamed/updated version.
- The market is specifically about the benchmark called "SWE-bench verified" as it exists at market creation.
Mercados abertos
AI
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified? é resolvido?
- Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If SWE-bench verified is renamed or significantly updated, this market will resolve NO even if Claude Sonnet 5 achieves 85% on the renamed/updated version.