Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51.1%
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado7/03/26, 13:49 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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[image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).
- These are widely assessed by Western analysts as "sixth-generation" fighter prototypes.
- As of March 2026 the Chinese government, Ministry of National Defense, and PLA have issued no official statements, names, specifications, or confirmations about these specific aircraft.
- This market resolves on whether the Chinese government provides an official public acknowledgment of these new stealth jet models (or the associated sixth-generation program) before 2027.
- The market resolves YES if, at any time on or before 31 December 2026, there is clear, verifiable evidence that the Chinese government has publicly and explicitly acknowledged the existence or development of these specific new stealth fighter prototypes.
- Acceptable evidence includes:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 é resolvido?
- Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: [image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).