Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
EconomiaOne-OffGeopolíticaEurope3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.1%
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado9/02/26, 15:17 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Chancellor Friedrich Merz makes a public announcement by December 31, 2026 that Germany will increase defense spending to 3.0% of GDP.
- The announcement must be made by Merz himself (or an official statement from the German Chancellor's office) and must explicitly state a commitment to reach 3.0% of GDP in defense spending.
- Resolution sources include official German government statements, NATO announcements, or major international news outlets reporting on such an announcement.
- Germany's record €108.2 billion 2026 defense budget marks a historic shift, supporting a long-term Bundeswehr buildup and redefining Germany's role in European security and NATO.
- Germany only just met NATO's 2% GDP target in 2024, so this jump to ~2.8% by 2026 is unprecedented.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
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- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHICPI in August
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- € 548,3 mil
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- € 29,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
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KALSHIRecession in 2027?
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- Yes-2.0pt22%
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- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria