KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 93%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
206,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
88.0% / 89.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
19/08/26, 01:00 UTC29/01/27, 14:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026 are above
- $21.7531 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the total statewide visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026, measured in nominal dollars, as reported by the State of Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism.
- This includes expenditures associated with visitors arriving by air and by out-of-state cruise ships.
- It does not use inflation-adjusted spending, average daily visitor spending, visitor days, or spending for an individual island or visitor market.
- Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 77,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Yes em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026 are above