Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
One-OffGeopolíticaIAEuropaPolítica2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61.5%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
22/01/26, 16:15 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Congress pass, and the President sign, a binding frontier-AI law before 2027?
FutuurWill the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill Ukraine sign an EU Accession Treaty by December 2027?
FutuurWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK 🇬🇧 sign a free trade deal with the USA 🇺🇸 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Since the Cold War, Canada has tended to buy American aircraft—first the F-86 Sabre, then the CF-104 Starfighter, and from the early 1980s the CF-18—largely to ensure interoperability with the United States and credibility within NATO and NORAD.
- The current effort to replace the CF-18 has dragged on for more than a decade, stalled by shifting governments, cost anxiety, and unease about strategic dependence on Washington.
- After a prolonged competition, Canada selected the Lockheed Martin F-35 as its preferred replacement.
- Canada plans to buy 88 American F-35 aircraft, ordered in 2022 at a cost now estimated to be more than $27 billion.
- Canada has been reviewing the F-35 purchase since early 2025.
- The Swedish Saab Gripen fighter jet represents a tempting alternative.