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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

8.5% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaRussia / UkraineEurope1a
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 28%+0.1%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

117 €

Liquidez

1,2 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

13.0% / 44.0%

Spread

238.5%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

13/06/26, 0:221/01/28, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes28%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine and the European Union formally sign an accession treaty by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying accession treaty will be a binding agreement that establishes the terms of Ukraine's potential future membership in the European Union, including agreements that provide for partial or limited membership or that contain exemptions, transition periods, or carve-outs on specific EU policies.
  • Ukraine does not need to become a member of the European Union for this market to resolve to "Yes".
  • Ratification of the agreement by EU member states, the Ukrainian parliament, or other legislative bodies is not required for this market to resolve "Yes."
  • Preliminary agreements, association agreements, framework agreements, or membership or potential membership in the European Economic Area alone will not qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine and the European Union formally sign an accession treaty by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying accession treaty will be a binding agreement that establishes the terms of Ukraine's potential future membership in the European Union, including agreements that provide for partial or limited membership or that contain exemptions, transition periods, or carve-outs on specific EU policies.
  • Ukraine does not need to become a member of the European Union for this market to resolve to "Yes".
  • Ratification of the agreement by EU member states, the Ukrainian parliament, or other legislative bodies is not required for this market to resolve "Yes."
  • Preliminary agreements, association agreements, framework agreements, or membership or potential membership in the European Economic Area alone will not qualify.