Will the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Eventos corporativosTecnologiaOne-OffEuropaPolíticaPolítica dos EUAGeopolítica2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.4%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado2/02/26, 23:45 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US purchase and annex any land in Greenland in 2026?
PredictItUSA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
KalshiWill Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the Trump administration signs a bilateral agreement with Denmark and/or Greenland that grants the United States land or territorial control in Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- The agreement must be formally signed and publicly announced.
- As of late January 2026, no formal agreement has been signed, though negotiations are ongoing.
- For resolution purposes, the agreement must involve actual transfer of land rights or sovereignty (even if limited to specific parcels), not merely expanded military access or defense cooperation under existing frameworks.
- Danish officials have stated there have been no direct discussions about granting the U.S. sovereign parcels of land.