Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 91.2%
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20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado14/12/24, 05:40 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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PredictItRegras
The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/
- This question will resolve YES if and only if at least five of those 60 people are incarcerated for any reason as of December 31, 2026 (a little more than two years from the inception of the question).
- Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - Temporary jailing counts towards the resolution criteria - individuals only need to be physically incarcerated on December 31, 2026, regardless of conviction status (AI summary of creator comment)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/